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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 5.5 AU with Completion Time: 2024-10-24T12:55Z

Model Inputs:
2024-10-24T03:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-54.0, Lat.=-24.0, Speed=1606.0, HalfAngle=48.0, Time21.5=2024-10-24T05:57Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
(Glancing Blow) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-10-26T02:00Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -13.6 hr]
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=4
(kp)135=6
(kp)180=6

Other Location(s) Impact:
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-25T11:31Z
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-25T02:40Z
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-24T23:54Z
OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-26T00:00Z (Glancing Blow)
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-26T20:00Z (Glancing Blow) [PE: -14.4 hr]

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Juno_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_055700_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :
The flank of this CME may give a glancing blow to BepiColombo around 2024-10-25T12:00Z (plus/minus 7 hours).

Submitted on 2024-10-24T13:01Z by Mary Aronne

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